Day Trading Course ... HOW TO PICK HOT STOCKS ... Stock Market Strategy

Day Trading Course ... HOW TO PICK HOT STOCKS ... Stock Market Strategy .- By HotInPlayStocks.com

The stock market can present you with a lot of hot stocks every day. Many of them are new technology stocks that come from the nanotech, biotech, voip, healthcare, homeland defense or internet sectors.

Most of them may seem promising, but the truth is that a good number of these trading & investing opportunities are extremely risky, while others are not as good as they seem. That's why it's very important to know how to choose the best especially if you want to day trade them.

When you know how to pick and approach the best hot stock trading opportuntites, you are able to generate a consistent and respectable amount of money in a very short period of time.

You don't necessarily have to trade momentum hot stocks all the time. But you can learn how to take advantage of them when you encounter the best opportunities for going long or for shorting them to make money when they are poised to fall down.

If you want to learn how to trade and pick hot momentum stocks in a simple yet effective way every week, just log on to HotInPlayStocks.com right now and discover what youve been missing.

How to make a lot of money on stocks. Easy steps to follow and real results I made 346,2$ at a period of among 8 months..

Take a Look at The Valuable Strategies and Bonuses that You can access today:

+ $ Trading Psychology. Realistic mindset of experienced momentum traders. The ones who make more money look at every opportunity in certain ways.

+ $ Short Selling Opportunities. Focus on these strategic scenarios and short stocks like a pro over and over without getting confused. The other side of the golden coin: Shorting to profit when the stock goes down.

+ $ How to pick momentum stocks every day in an easy and fast way. Pure gold over and over.

+ $ What kind of stocks to look for and how to classify the opportunities for greater trading profits. Come and get a truckload of $$$$$ from now on.

+ $ Profitable momentum trading without technical analysis.

+ $ What kind of stocks and "opportunities" to avoid and why. Save thousands in losses from trades gone bad in the future.

+ $ The "little details" you should look for before you consider a momentum daytrade.

+ $ Things to consider when trading low float momentum stocks

+ $ Buying micro cap and small cap stocks with momentum.

+ $ Trading NASDAQ stocks or OTCBB - OTC stocks ?

+ $ Getting ready for the trading breakout. Position your self for success.

+ $ Will my market rally last more than 5 minutes or less? What to do

+ $ It's all about the stock rally. The rest is just a bunch of elegant B.S. Learn to focus on what matters.

+ $ How to lock in profits on the way up

+ $ Should I hold overnight trading positions for a possible gap up ?

+ $ What to do if the stock rally stops moving. Cash in your pocket !

+ $ Level 2 trading ( L 2 ) strategies for momentum stocks.

+ $ Time frames for trading stocks with momentum, Pros and Cons

+ $ Premarket stock trading strategies and tips.

+ $ Trading momentum stock opportunities during market hours. $$$$

+ $ Trading at the open or waiting till the dust settles to make your move. It depends. This can make a big difference in your results.

+ $ Stocktrading during lunch hour ?

+ $ After hours trading tactics and tips. Super value, yours included !

+ $ Become an expert of your hotstock watch list.

+ $ You don't need to watch the stock market all day. Profitable stock traders have a better way.

+ $ Stock trading is not a job. Save money and don't make it another rat race.

+ $ Watching charts and stocktrading all day ? Overtrading is not the way to go. Learn why !

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+ $ Stress free day trading tips and strategies for beginners and experienced stock traders. Your time is here!

+ $ Real examples of recent on-line trading opportunities. Learn in a practical way.

+ $ Powerful stock market resources and tools for day trading with our strategy. Discover momentum stocks in a snap and choose only the best every day. No waisting time. Its all about results !

Just picture your self waking up EVERY morning fresh and confident knowing you can identify, validate and take advantage of great momentum trading opportunities that are capable of generating you very profitable results.

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Hot In Play Stocks helps day traders and investors pick hot stock trading opportunities every day at HotInPlayStocks.com

How to make a lot of money on stocks. I made 346,2$ .Easy steps to follow and Real Results

How to make a lot of money on stocks. I made 346,2$ .Easy steps to follow and Real Results

Submitted by: solve aanneland http://www.american-dollar.com/

I have been trying to make money on stocks a couple of years and I have found out that if you follow sertan rules you may get the money that you have expected in a less risk than usual.

I tried to buy stocks at these rules:

-Atleast doubled in value and

-Has going up fermly atleast for a 6 month of time

-Had a good graph

-I am selling it when it is going down among 20%

I buyed the stock below tandberg data at a price of 8nkr and I invested 1800Nkr (277$ at a $ price of 6,5)

I sold the stock when it had going down from 22-18 Nkr.

My sale price was 18Nkr but a weak before I sold out from the companie the companie was splitted into to pieces.

TST(Tandberg Storage)Who has for now a value at 1000Nkr(154$ and the main companie

ALX(Altinex) I sold out only the Altinex piece and I am Not taking the value of the TST companie in my final sale price since I have not sold the stock yet.

I had now 4050Nkr (623$) in this stock

My earning was 2250kr(346,2$) at a period of among 8 months (The TST price is not calculated in this result since I have not sold it yet)

If I had sold the tst stocks at the moment 12november 2005. I have earned among 1000Nkr (154$)

So my final earning would than be 3250Nkr (500,2$) at a period of 3 years.

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Struggling Stocks, Booming Commodities 

NASDAQ dropped -12.5% year to date in 2005. S&P500 index suffered -5.7% this year. US stock market has been terrible over past few months.

Not only general market is down, oil stocks recently had a significant correction as well. It is easy to be nervous because of the short term setback. However, to succeed with long term oriented value investing, we can not be distracted by the volatile short term market movement. It is time to step back and look at the big picture of the current stock market and review investment strategy to profit in this kind of tough environment.

Stocks in General and Oil Stocks

Below chart is past 1 year performance chart between Energy Index ETF (ticker: XLE) and S&P500 index (ticker: SPY). By looking at the chart, even a fool will know that oil market is booming while US stock market in general is struggling.

Simply put, the current US stock market is not in bull market. The heydays of 1980's and 1990's when anyone can simply put some money in S&P500 index fund or a decent US mutual fund to earn 10% to 20% plus annual performance is long gone. I expect for the next 8 to 10 years, the US stock market in general will be stagnant.

If you have believed that 20 years of stock market performance between 1980 and 2000 is stock market average performance, then you will be shocked to know that just before that period in 1960's and in 1970's, US stock market went nowhere. Dow hit 995.15 in 1966 and Dow was back to 800 in 1982. If you were the long term investor who invested in Dow index fund between 1966 and 1982, you got a negative -20% return overall for your 16 years of loyalty, how would you feel about that ?

Still remember the NASDAQ peak of 5000? In my opinion, NASDAQ is screwed up index with full of expensive stocks even today. I predict that we may have to wait another decade to revisit NASDAQ 5000.

Current Stock Market Average Valuation is Not Cheap

Currently SP&500 index trades at about 17x average PE today. Although this valuation is not terribly expensive, it is not that cheap either.

Over past 100 years of US stock market history, market usually bottomed at average PE of 10. That happened in 1974 or 1929 or 1980. We are not there yet, not even close over past 5 years even though the technology stock bubble bursted in 2000. In a major stock market bottom, we should see plenty of big cap stable companies trading at PE of low teens. Now look at this: Coca-Cola (KO) PE 20, Walt Disney (DIS) PE 24. Even worse, a no-growth stock like Sun Microsystems (SUNW) is still trading at premium PE of 19.

What is the Overall Earning Outlook of US Stock Market?

Even though the current stock market valuation is not that cheap, if earning is good, market should do fine.

Are we going to get excellent overall earning outlook in the next few years for the US stock market in general? Unfortunately, my answer is no. My take is that US stock market earning overall is decent, but not good enough to trigger a bull market. This market is still digesting the past bubble over-valuation coupled with poor earning outlook.

Here is one reason of my not-so-enthusiastic earning outlook: the rising oil and commodity prices.

The Booming Commodity price

Commodity and oil market has been booming since 1999 and the high commodity price is taking toll on overall stock market earnings. Companies need to pay more for the things needed in business: steel, copper, oil, natural gas etc. Historically, when commodity market was shining, stock market did not do very well, and vice versa. In 1960's and 1970's, oil and commodity had bull market run for nearly 20 years while Dow Jone index had horrible performance for nearly 20 years. From 1980 to 2000, the stock market soared while oil hit as low as $15.

The Bull Oil and Commodity Cycle Could be Very Long

Jimmy Rogers is famous investor who co-founded Quantum Fund together with George Soros. In his recent book titled "Hot Commodities", he is predicting that the current commodity bull market can last until 2013 strictly due to supply and demand.

In one chapter of the book titled "Goodbye, Cheap Oil", he clearly lays out the reasons why oil and natural gas bull market can last until next decade. This is as simple as supply and demand: rising demand coupled with declining supply.

The supply of oil and natural gas was diminished partly due to extremely low oil and gas price in 1990's. Over past 35 years, there was no major oil discovery in the world while the old oil fields deplete. Oil and natural gas production level of a well does not stay flat over the life of a well reserve. The production level of a well actually declines gradually due to geophysics of oil well until the reserve is fully depleted. Even there is new oil field discovered, it will take a decade after the discovery to actually produce oil! Increasing supply to meet demand is a very difficult and slow process.

Coupled with declining supply, the demand of energy from China doubled since 1990 consuming 8 percent of world's oil in 2004. US economy is growing with increasing oil demand year over year while US oil production has seen sharp decline over past 50 years.

Still the oil price is not that high on historical basis. Even with today's oil price of $50 a barrel, the oil price is still significantly lower than the inflation adjusted peak price of $90 a barrel in 1970's.

Value Investors Do Not Need a Bull Market to Make Money

As scary as the potential trouble in stock market, this kind of tough environment is great money-making time for value investors to pick up cheap shares.

Warren Buffet is the greatest value investor in the world. He averaged 20% annual investment performance over past 50 years. However, Mr. Buffet's performance in bear market of 1960's and 1970's was actually 30% per year return, much higher than his average performance.

Focus on Dirt Cheap Stocks and Booming Commodities Market

Stocks do not go straight up or go straight down. There will be huge run up or sharp sell off in short term. While market is not in good shape, this is and will be wonderful time for long term oriented value investors.

Commodity price is volatile. Just like stock market, commodity price does not go straight up or straight down. Although oil price weakened recently, I firmly believe that oil price is not going back to cheap oil price below $40 a barrel. As long as oil and natural gas prices stay high, oil stocks will do fine in its business. As painful as the recent sharp sell off in energy stocks, energy stocks in general are still very cheap and my investment strategy is to continue to stay long term oriented in them.

In the short term, it is very hard to know when a stock will go up or go down. But I do know that valuation and earning matters and investing in cheap stocks trading significantly below market average will be rewarding in the long run

Webmasters and Ezine Publishers: Free professional content - pre-licensed to you..

You are invited to use any or all of these value investing articles in your publication or website. The only requirement is the inclusion of the following, after each article...

* Article by Henry Lu of BlastInvest LLC, a premium investment newsletter publisher in Connecticut. Visit http://www.BlastInvest.com for FREE "how-to" investing assistan

Oil Stocks CHK WLL - What Is Their Worth? 

(1) CHK stock price $16.74, NAV $32.5

CHK is my favorite oil or natural gas stock. Here is updated Net Asset Value (NAV) table from CHK July 2004 earning release:

Table CHK PV-10 per share NAV vs Natural gas price

N Gas price NAV per share

$4.50 $16.11

$5.00 $19.60

$5.50 $23.11

$6.00 $26.61

$6.50 $32.5

PE = 10 or 10% of earning yield is considered reasonable valuation for non-growing business. PV-10 Net Asset Value (NAV) is standard calculation for value of oil or natural gas reserve assuming current production cost and expenses. When N gas price = $4.5, CHK will make $1.611 per share per year true profit with current production/exploration expenses. CHK is worth $16.11 at $4.5 gas price in this case. We can imagine that as if CHK is a bank deposit account, the interest rate is 10%, if we deposit $16.11 principle there, each year we get 10% interest returns or $1.611 interest per year.

For the 1st half of 2004, natural gas price was between $5 and $7 averaging at $6.0. Natural gas price was as high as $9 in later half of 2004. CHK stock price is still below $17 recently and its reported quarterly net income severely under-estimated its true profitability.

* Margin of Safety - CHK

Wall Street analysts have been predicting significantly lower N. gas price or oil price in 2-3 years ahead. Therefore, CHK or the whole oil and gas stocks are trading as if N. gas price between $4 - $5 range or oil price between $20 - $30 range.

First of all, I disagree that oil or natural gas will go down much from here. Inflation, weak dollar, China and US strong economy justifies the current high energy price. Energy price will stay high for quite long term. Wall Street analysts are still living in past memory of low oil price in 1990's world. In fact, current oil price is still at half of price of 1970's peak if we adjust inflation from then.

Second of all, even if I am wrong and wall street analysts are right, and natural gas price crashing down to $4.5 or oil price crashing down below $30 in next 2-3 years, CHK current stock price has already factored in such low energy price (see above table).

Third, the NAV value is a moving target. Specifically for CHK, NAV is growing at 20% to 25% per year recently.

* CHK - NAV growth 20% or $3 per share per year

Neither CHK nor WLL pay dividend. They all reinvest their profit into acquiring or drilling for more oil or gas reserve. Therefore, reserve based NAV adjusted by cash or debt reflect true net asset value for the stock. Reserve based NAV increase per year reflect their true earning of business.

CHK NAV value per share has been growing at 20% - 25% per year rate or $3 per share currently. Even if energy stocks continue to trade at current low valuation to its true earnings, CHK stock price is likely to increase 20% - 25% return per year just due to its NAV increase. If Wall Street finally accept high energy price as norm in the future, then CHK can reward shareholders even more.

CHK mainly achieved this excellent operation performance by following measures:

Low cost drilling and fast organic production growth. Current quarter yearly organic production growth is 11%. This is one of highest in the industry.

Excellent acquisition track record. Over past few years, CHK has been able to dramatically increase production of acquired property in short term so that CHK's acquisitions have been accretive to current shareholders. Even though the latest acquisition is slightly dilutive in per reserve basis, it is expected to be accretive in cashflow or earning basis. Successful out-performing hedging program. CHK has been able to obtain above industry hedging prices over past years. CHK is not locked into long term contract of low prices as many do. For the current quarter CHK realized a low gas price due to past hedging so that their earning per share is flat compared to last year. CHK hedging is light in 2005 or beyond so that higher price can be expected in 2005 or beyond.

(2) WLL stock price $31, NAV $63

WLL is trading at discount even to private acquisition price and very low multiples to its cashflow. WLL also has very experienced management team with long track record in oil gas business.

WLL reported $63 per share PV-10 NAV at latest quarterly earning report. Currently WLL is trading significantly below its PV-10 NAV value. In fact, WLL is trading at big discount to its peers too. WLL is trading at $1.32 per Mcfe reserve. The current average industry acquisition price was $1.5 per Mcfe reserve over past 1.5 years.

For the 1st half of 2004 WLL generated 18% of annualized return after replacing all the reserve depletion. The recent acquisition of $44 million acquisition is accretive at $1.11 Mcfe per reserve cost. It is accretive in either reserve , cashflow or revenue basis. With more accretive deals like this, WLL NAV growth can be 20% per year or more instead.

The recent 2 quarters reported yearly organic production of only 2%, much lower than expected 5% - 10% growth. However, production growth is over-rated performance measurement in Wall Street. Most importantly, WLL did not waste any money into over-spending. WLL simply did not spend extra expected drilling capex. WLL reserve replacement drilling cost was still low. From investor point of view, even if WLL production growth is not as good as CHK, WLL NAV can still grow at 18% to 20% per year with smart accretive acquisition and low cost drilling.

(3) Conclusion

I continue to like WLL and CHK. I continue to hold WLL CHK in Blast Investor Real-time Plus model portfolio

Webmasters and Ezine Publishers: Free professional content - pre-licensed to you..

You are invited to use any or all of these value investing articles in your publication or website. The only requirement is the inclusion of the following, after each article...

* Article by Henry Lu of BlastInvest LLC, a premium investment newsletter publisher in Connecticut. Visit http://www.BlastInvest.com for FREE "how-to" investing assistan

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